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Analyze Essay

903 words - 4 pages

Demographic Transition
Demographic transition is a model used to make reference to or represent the transition from high fertility and mortality rates to low birth and death rates when the country is developing from a pre-industrial society to an industrialized economic system. “As they modernize, technology and socio-economic advances reduce the death rates. With further development, birth rates decrease, resulting in a stable population” as noted by (Editorial Board, 2013 pp. 17). There are four phases of demographic transition which are based on if the population is stable, growing, or declining in each. Stage one of demographic transition there is a higher level fluctuation. Which correlate the balance of high death rates and high birth rates within the Pre-modern times the high rates are believed to be high due to the extremely slow population developments. However during the stage one of demographic transition with high fertility and mortality rates as well as slow population growth is conducive to a stable population (Montgomery K. (n.d). Stage two of demographic transition, urbanizing industrializing early expansions there is high birth rates and falling death rate when this occurs there will be a rise in the population growth due to the lower death rates. If there are lower mortality rates there is only population growth there must be an equal balance. Stage three of demographic transition, during the mature industrial times when there is late expansion there was falling birth rate and continued falling of death rate there will continue to be a rise in the population growth (Montgomery K. (n.d). The reason why there will be a continuance in the population growth is because the death total is still higher rate than the birth rates reducing. Stage four demographic transition phase (Post Industrial) there was low fluctuation meaning there low birth rates and low death rates. This means the level of balances is off, both low birth rates and low death rates cancel each other out (Montgomery K. (n.d). However population growth will continue to be high to the point. The reason why the population will continue to be high is due to the levels of imbalance is already too far gone. Meaning there must be high death rates and high birth rates (stable population) to be able to sustain these types of changes in the balance (low birth rates and low death rates) in order to become a sustainable industrialized economic system. According to demographers the leading factors that contribute to the decline in crude birth rates (CBR) and crude death rates (CDR) in the epidemiologic and fertility phases of the demographic transition is cultural factors, social, economic, epidemiological factor (Editorial Board (2014). The cause of the declining rates...

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