The United States is the leading economy across the globe and experienced several tribulations in the recent past following the 2008 global recession. Despite these recent challenges, there are expectations among policymakers and financial experts that the country will experience solid economic growth. Actually, financial analysts have stated that the U.S. economy will be characterized by increased consumer spending, increased investments by businesses, reduced rate of unemployment, and reduction in government cut. Some analysts have also stated that the country’s economy will strengthen in 2014 with an average of 2.7 percent or more. However, these predictions can only be understood through an analysis of the current macroeconomic situation in the United States.
Current Macroeconomic Situation:
According to Payne (2014), the U.S. economic growth will strengthen in this year with an average of 2.7 percent because of various factors including the strengthening of consumer and business confidence. The other factor that will contribute to the strengthening of the country’s economic growth is Europe’s emergence from its long slumber, a trend that will brighten the prospects of foreign sales. However, this economic growth will largely be limited by ongoing government deficit reduction. As compared to the first half of 2013, economic conditions are already better since growth increased with an average of 3.7 percent in the second half of 2013. Consequently, expectations of increased economic growth in the United States are rising as people believe that this will be the best year since the tribulations of 2008 global recession. Generally, America’s GDP growth will become stronger in 2014 averaging at least 2.7 percent because of improved economic conditions.
However, this growth will still be characterized by a relatively high rate of unemployment, especially for individuals who have struggled with lack of jobs and stagnant payment for a long period of time. While there are expectations of a yearly gain of nearly 2.3 million net new jobs, the unemployment rate is still very high i.e. around 6.5 percent. The lower-than-expected job growth is fueled by various factors including government hiring, weather, and Obamacare. Actually, similar to December, January had a lower-than expected increase in job opportunities since only 113,000 jobs were created. However, the rate of unemployment still reduced to 6.6 percent in this month despite of the growth in labor force. The current rate of unemployment is the lowest in U.S. since the 2008 recession because more people are leaving the labor force instead of finding jobs.
As economic growth increases moderately in 2014, the rate of inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent. The price of goods in the country will continue to be restricted by global competition and use of production capacities that are relatively low as compared to historical averages. In addition, the inflation rate...