Risk And Net Present Value Essay

7852 words - 31 pages

Table of Contents1.1 Introduction1.2 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)1.3 ADVANTAGES OF NPV1.4 DISADVANTAGES OF NPV1.5 PAYBACK1.6 Arguments in favour of payback1.7 Debt vs Equity1.8 Equity equals Ownership (Share Profits and Control)1.9 Debt: Money You Owe2.0 ADVANTAGES OF DEBT COMPARED TO EQUITY2.1 DISADVANTAGES OF DEBT COMPARED TO EQUITY2.2 Managerial Ownership and Agency Costs2.3 Concentrated Ownership and Agency Costs2.4 Debt and Agency Costs2.5 PECKING ORDER THEORY OVERVIEW2.6 CAPITAL MARKET TREATMENT OF NEW SECURITY ISSUES2.7 HOW PECKING ORDER IS SUPERIOR TO THE TRADE-OFF MODEL2.8 LIMITATIONS OF PECKING ORDER THEORY2.9 Hedging3.0 The Hedging Problem3.1 Hedging Objectives3.2 Risk Engineering3.3 Controlling the risk3.4 Profit after tax (PAIT)3.5 Diversification3.6 Beta3.7 Advantages of Beta3.8 Disadvantages of Beta3.9 Re-Assessing Risk4.0 Bonds and Debentures4.1 Interest Rates.4.2 Supply and Demand.4.3 Preference Shareholders4.4 Portfolio theory4.5 Options1.1IntroductionCharacteristically, a decision to invest in a capital project involves a largely irreversible commitment of resources that is generally subject to a significant degree of risk. Such decisions have far-reaching effects on a company's profitability and flexibility over the long term, thus requiring that they be part of a carefully developed strategy that is based on reliable appraisal and forecasting procedures.In order to handle these decisions, firms have to make an assessment of the size of the outflows and inflows of funds, the life span of the investment, the degree of risk attached and the cost of obtaining funds.One of the most important steps in the capital budgeting cycle is working out if the benefits of investing large capital sums outweigh the costs of these investments. The range of methods that business organisations use can be categorised in one of two ways: traditional and discounted cash flow techniques. Traditional methods include the Average Rate of Return and Payback; discounted cash flow (DCF) methods using Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return.1.2 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)Net present value is a way of comparing the value of money now with the value of money in the future. A euro today is worth more than a euro in the future, because inflation erodes the buying power of the future money, while money available today can be invested and so grow.The technique is a three-stage process:"to calculate the present value of each element of cash expenditure in a proposal and then, to add these individual present values together to provide a total present value of the expenditures;to similarly calculate the present value of each element of cash income in a proposal and, then, to add these individual present values together to provide a total present value of the incomes;to deduct the total present value of expenditures from the total present value of the incomes, in order to determine the net present value"; Tinic, S. M., and West, R. R. (1986)If this calculation produces...

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