The Essay Is An Economics Paper Abt The Relation Between S&P500 And Nasdaq, Using Regression And Other Statistical Tools

2419 words - 10 pages

ESTIMATING THE S & P 500 AND THE NASDAQ: VARIABLES THAT AFFECT EACHEstimating the S & P 500 and the NASDAQ: Variables That Affect EachIntroductionHere in the United States our economy has experienced many different changes, which has resulted in various growths and recessions. Researchers have studied the ups and downs of the stock market and have attempted to predict what may come. However like the roll of the dice, predicting the stock market is a game of chance. We can look to the past in order to see which variables have influenced the market.This paper examines a list of variables and their affect on the S & P 500 as well as the NASDAQ. The following is a list of variables we have chosen to test their affect on each of these indexes: Producer Price Index, all commodities, not seasonally adjusted; Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, all items seasonally adjusted; Civilian Unemployment Rate, percentage seasonally adjusted; Balance of Payment Basis (trade balance, goods and services), millions of dollars seasonally adjusted; Federal Funds Rate, daily percentages; Currency in Circulation, billions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted; All Employees (finance, insurance, real estate), thousands, seasonally adjusted; M1 Money Stock, billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted; Inventories, millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted.The two indexes selected for this paper are highly correlated. Due to their high correlation, the economic indicators listed above were placed in a spreadsheet and ran through various tests as well as a regression analysis. The S & P 500 is a list of the top 500 companies in the stock market and the NASDAQ is an index consisting mainly of technology firms. We have found that due to the recent demand for technology, the NASDAQ has played a significant role in the economy blending in with many of the Fortune 500 companies found in the S & P 500. Companies such as AOL Time-Warner have been listed in both of these indexes as well as many other technology firms.Review of LiteratureWhat Makes Nasdaq Unique?As the world's largest electronic stock market, Nasdaq® is not limited to one central trading location. Rather, trading is executed through Nasdaq's sophisticated computer and telecommunications network, which transmits real-time quote and trade data to more than 1.3 million users in 83 countries. Without size limitations or geographical boundaries, Nasdaq's "open architecture" market structure allows a virtually unlimited number of participants to trade in a company's stock.Today, Nasdaq lists the securities of nearly 4,100 of the world's leading companies and each year, continues to help hundreds of companies successfully make the transition to public ownership.Trading on Nasdaq is not limited to any fixed number of participants. This allows a large number of firms with widely different business models and trading technologies to connect to the Nasdaq network and compete on an equal basis....

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