The Future Of Warfare Thought Paper

1401 words - 6 pages

The Future of Warfare- Thought PaperAt the beginning of the quarter, I was discussing the war on Afghanistan with my father, a graduate of USC with a degree in Political Science. He said to me, ?War is nothing more than politics gone awry. Just remember- It's all shades of gray, my son. Ain't any black and white except on an old TV?. After mulling over this for several weeks, I came to the profound conclusion that war between states was quickly becoming obsolete. As we explore the politics of the twenty first century, we can draw the conclusion that global conflict as we know it is nearing an end. Within the next one hundred years, warfare maybe all but over. Advocates of both liberalism and realism can see beyond a reasonable doubt that the end of large scale armed conflict is imminent. Remaining conflicts will be small skirmishes between groups and civil disturbances.On a theoretical level, realism is a doctrine that believes that humans have an inherent drive for conflict and power (Kegley and Wittkopf 2001, p.414). Because war is the direct result of the decisions of the people who run states and decide on a course of war; it therefore is necessary to examine human nature. One of the realist?s concepts that reveal the future of warfare is called the balance of power. (Global Issues 2001 Article 23). The balance of power means that peace and stability will be maintained when no single power can dominate or suppress others. In previous wars, a single state was being suppressed by another and that has lead to armed conflict. We can see this in the Gulf War, and numerous times throughout history. If that country had an adequate and equal military, then the likelihood of conflict would decrease. In addition, realists agree that if you want peace it is necessary to prepare for war. (Kegley and Wittkopf 2001 p.551). In the cold war, we operated under the theory of M.A.D., or mutual assured destruction to keep the superpowers from destroying the world. Right now, the USA serves a hegemon for the rest of the international community. As long as we or any other hegemon can control the world arena, the likelihood for full scale war is greatly diminished. Another principle of realism that will secure peace in the future is collective security (Kegley and Wittkopf 2001 p.559). Right now, NATO emphasizes the doctrines of collective security by stating that an attack on one NATO country is an attack on all NATO countries. Which state will have the guts to wage war against the most powerful militaries in the history of warfare? In addition, collective security organizations serve to bolster the power of the UN (Global Issues 2001 Article 3). As the world becomes increasingly centralized and similar, the likelihood for conflict decreases. In the future, all wars between states will be zero-sum, because a loss on one side will be a loss for the other. The realist?s perspective on peace in definitely a twist on commonly held beliefs, for the most convincing...

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