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Tok: Discuss The Ways In Which Statistics Can Be Used Or Misused To Assist And Mislead Us, And How We Can Determine Whether To Accept The Statistical Evidence Present To Us.

1430 words - 6 pages

For many years now, people have been using statistics to present data to the masses who then took these numbers for granted and believed it without any further inquiry. But what are such statistics really? Professor John Deere says "Statistics is a way to get useful information from raw data" I here must emphasize on the word "useful" for different things are useful to different people,; it is just like me saying, "it is hot in here." Such a statement is only speaking for the one who said it. This by it self can trigger an illusion to the one that hears it. It forces a man to see a thing in the way that I want him to see it. Statistics work in the same way, by wording a question differently or even merely changing the tune of your voice when you ask the question or give the results and thus changes the outcome of what the audiences get out of the survey. In this essay I will intend to explore how statistics can be used or misused in different areas of knowledge to assist and mislead us. I will then try to clarify how we can evaluate the statistical evidence that is presented to us, by providing examples of problems that are caused by misunderstandings of statistical information.History:Statistics are very commonly used to distort our views on Historical events. Governments use statistics religiously to get the loyalty of its people. Using China's "Great Leap Forward" for example, according to a Maoist article. "Western scholars have estimated that between 16.4 million and 29.5 million people died in the Great Leap Forward. (1) It is a common argument that this was due to executions ordered by Mao and the Chinese Communist Party. People who know a little more about the history of China know about the famine, natural disasters and starvation during this period. However, they often attribute these starvation deaths to malicious programs and mismanagement of industrialization and distribution of goods" I have a few words in here that are in italics, "western scholars" which makes it seem that these numbers are not reliable because they were not conducted by the Chinese themselves. "People who know a little more about history" give the reader the impression that if he does not believe the text then he is ignorant. Notice how much there is to explain only 2 numbers, now let us look at these numbers again, but this time without all of extra stuff: Between 16.4 million and 29.5 million people died in the Great Leap Forward. Any sane man that reads this would think that the Great Leap Forward was a complete failure and Mao was a butcher. Sometimes to get the truth you have to just ignore all the talk. Here is another example in the same article, "Mao did claim government responsibility for 800,000 executions between 1949 and 1954. These were popularly sanctioned executions done in people's trials against the most hated landlords and pro-Japanese (pro-imperialist) elements that had terrorized the masses during World War II and its aftermath." Basically Mao...

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